ISSN 0021-3454 (print version)
ISSN 2500-0381 (online version)
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9
Issue
vol 60 / SEPTEMBER, 2017
Article
UDC 519.8

MODELING OF FOREST FIRE SPREAD WITH THE USE OF PERCOLATION THEORY

S. A. Astafiev
ITMO University, Department of Mechatronic; Post-Graduate Student


D. Y. Lysenko
Transas Group, St. Petersburg; Project Manager


A. S. Shirokov
Transas Group, St. Petersburg; Leading Specialist


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Abstract.   A prototype program for simulation of forest fire spread on the base of data obtained with unmanned monitoring of the area is presented. Percolation approach to fire prediction is applied allowing for consideration of probability of the fire spread in a given direction.
Keywords: prediction of fire, simulation program, percolation, probability of fire spread