ISSN 0021-3454 (print version)
ISSN 2500-0381 (online version)
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5
Issue
vol 60 / MAY, 2017
Article
UDC 004.942

UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS OF PREDICTION MODELING OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS: DATA UNDERSTANDING AND ENSEMBLE TECHNOLOGIES

S. V. Ivanov
ITMO University, Saint Petersburg, 197101, Russian Federation ; Associate professor


A. V. Boukhanovsky
ITMO University, Saint Petersburg, 197101, Russian Federation; Director


Abstract. Combined application of data understanding methods and ensemble technologies to uncertainty analysis of prediction modeling of complex systems is discussed using the problem of St. Petersburg flood prevention as an example.
Keywords: mathematical modeling, uncertainty, prediction modeling, complex system