ISSN 0021-3454 (print version)
ISSN 2500-0381 (online version)
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12
Issue
vol 59 / DECEMBER, 2016
Article
UDC 004.8

SENSITIVITY OF A PRIORY LOGICAL PROBABILITY CONCLUSION IN INTELLECTUAL INFORMATIONAL SYSTEMS

A. L. Tulupyev
SPIIRAS, Saint Petersburg, 199178, Russian Federation; Saint Petersburg State University, Saint Petersburg, 199178, Russian Federation, ; Head of Laboratory; Professor


Abstract. A method is proposed for estimation of the effect of initial data variation on an a priory conclusion in a fragment of algebraic Bayes net. The method is based on solution of a set of linear programming problems. An upper estimate is derived for conclusion sensitivity depending linearly on initial data variation radius.
Keywords: estimation of sensitivity, logical probability conclusion, algebraic Bayes net.