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11
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vol 67 / November, 2024
Article

DOI 10.17586/0021-3454-2024-67-11-951-957

UDC 004.896

AUTOMATING THE CREATION OF MACHINE LEARNING MODELS FOR SOLVING TIME SERIES FORECASTING PROBLEMS

V. A. Sobolevsky
St. Petersburg Federal Research Center of the RAS, St. Petersburg Institute for Informatics and Automation of the RAS, Laboratory of Information Technologies in System Analysis and Modeling;

Reference for citation: Sobolevsky V. А. Automating the creation of machine learning models for solving time series forecasting problems. Journal of Instrument Engineering. 2024. Vol. 67, N 11. P. 951–957 (in Russian). DOI: 10.17586/0021-3454- 2024-67-11-951-957.

Abstract. It is proposed to use the AutoML approach to automate the creation of machine learning models predicting time series. Algorithms and technologies allowing to implement the automation of model creation are considered. A hybrid architecture of machine learning used in solving problems of automating the structural-parametric synthesis of models and optimizing hyperparameters, as well as in the automatic selection of indicators for assessing the quality of synthesized models, is chosen. The user interface for this system is implemented on the basis of the AutoGenNet platform, which embodies the No-Code development concept, which allows hiding the complexity of the processes of creating and training models from users, which reduces the entry threshold for working with the program. Using the AutoGenNet platform allows implementing a mechanism for generating software shells for operating trained models, as well as automating the processes of generating and training hybrid models, which simplifies and speeds up the process of solving time series forecasting problems using machine learning models. The results obtained can be scaled and used to create time series forecasting models in various applied problems.
Keywords: machine learning, time series forecasting, AutoML, linear regression, XGBoost

Acknowledgement: the research conducted on this topic was carried out with partial financial support from budget topic No. FFZF-2022-0004.

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